SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico - The five-hour lines at Puerto Ricoâ€™s main airport to get off the island do not make for a good omen.
Not for the already brain-drained local economy, which has lost half a million people over the past decade. Not for Florida or Texas officials, who will have to deal with an unplanned migration of hundreds of thousands of Puerto Ricans who will mostly follow their cousins and uncles to those states. Certainly not for Republicans, who may see the Puerto Ricans arriving on the mainland as unassimilated Hispanics with a host of social needs befitting people who are starting from scratch - Puerto Ricans who may, as U.S. citizens, eventually vote Democratic at the polls.
Which is why President Donald Trump should pay close attention to what he heard during his visit to the island Tuesday and quickly make amends. We were waiting for a Marshall Plan, something announcing the rebuilding of Puerto Rico. What we got was more congratulations for his own administration. Instead of showing compassion for the most vulnerable, he went to visit the richest areas of the island.
But amid all the wreckage and upended lives in Puerto Rico, one thing is certain: Migration, already at historic levels before Hurricane Maria because of the islandâ€™s bankruptcy and dire economic situation, is bound to sharply rise with untold consequences for the states that will take them in and the island they leave behind. â€¦
This is not your fatherâ€™s vacation spot. This is not postcard Puerto Rico. Images of cobblestone historic streets, idyllic beaches and salsa dancing have been replaced by knee-high putrid water, dilapidated houses throughout the island and people of all ages begging for help. La Perla, the iconic San Juan neighborhood where the â€śDespacitoâ€ť video by Luis Fonsi and Daddy Yankee was filmed, is barely there.
The federal government is barely there, too.
Puerto Ricansâ€™ relationship with the U.S. is layered, nuanced and complicated - and we feel slighted when Trump and other politicians compare the situation here to the governmentâ€™s response to Harvey in Texas and Irma in Florida. Islanders treasure our U.S. citizenship, but we oftentimes feel it is a second-class citizenship. This plays out from the most important aspects of political life (we cannot vote for the U.S. president in the general election, though we can, and do, join the armed forces) to the most mundane (many companies charge elevated fees when sending their products). The federal governmentâ€™s lackluster response â€¦ have easily played into that discontent.
When Maria barreled through Puerto Rico last month, its Category 4 winds leveled the island from coast to coast and exposed vulnerabilities that were either hidden or mitigated by the remnants of what the U.S. used to point to, during the imperialistic height of the Cold War, as the showcase of the Caribbean - a so-called commonwealth where capitalism brought steady-paying jobs and the trappings of a comfortable middle class and which contrasted perfectly with Cubaâ€™s incipient socialism under Fidel Castro.
The massive exodus of Puerto Ricans to the mainland during our economic crisis has another prospective loser: tens of thousands of municipal bondholders (not necessarily all from the rich hedge-fund club) who were lured into investing in the islandâ€™s triple-tax-exempt bonds. The plan concocted by Congress to try to make them somewhat whole again without wrecking Puerto Ricoâ€™s budget now seems to be in shambles. If bondholders before were in line to get little, now they will probably get less. â€¦
The way to deal with this debt is to keep thousands of Puerto Ricans from fleeing the island, right now. Before the hurricane, doctors were leaving at a clip of one a day - bad news for an aging population. Before the hurricane, Puerto Rico did not have access to capital markets because of its bankruptcy. Before the hurricane, Puerto Ricoâ€™s unemployment rate was roughly twice the U.S. mainlandâ€™s average. Now, all those problems are far worse.
News coverage so far has rightly focused on what is immediately needed to save lives, but none of those things are enough to push Puerto Rico to a level of sustainability where we can once again be a showcase of the Caribbean. We need a recovery package. We need empathy from federal leaders and not reprimands that we are making a dent in the budget.
We need help.
If Trump can manage to stop congratulating himself and deliver it, then in the long run, Wall Street, the banks, thousands of bondholders and politicians in Florida and Texas - as well as the 3.4 million U.S. citizens in Puerto Rico and 5 million Puerto Ricans in the mainland - will thank him.
Fonseca is a radio host on Univision and a TV host on NBC/Telemundo in Puerto Rico. Aldridge is an attorney in Puerto Rico and New York.